Monday, July 29, 2013

I need help with the below homework question on the expected value.Mark draws one card from a standard deck of 52. He receives $0.35 for a spade,...

First, to find the expected value you will need to multiply the probability of a particular class of card being drawn by the reward for drawing it.


The probability of drawing the Queen of Spades is 1/52.  The benefit is $.85 (.85/1).  Multiply across top and bottom of the fractions:



numerator:  1 x .85 = .85


denominator:  52 x 1 = 52




So, you get .85/52.  If you do the division, the expected value is $.016.  I will wait to round until the end.



The probability of drawing a Queen other than the Queen of Spades is 3/52.  The benefit is $.55.



num: 3 x .55 = 1.65


den:  52 x 1 = 52


1.65/52 = $.032



The probability of drawing a Spade other than the Queen of Spades is 12/52.  The benefit is $.35.



num: 12 x .35 = 4.2


den:  52 x 1 = 52


4.2/52 = $.081



Now add all the expected values together:



.016 + .032 + .081 = .129


Since we are talking about money, we have to round to the nearest cent = $.13



So, to make the game "fair", Mark should pay $.13.

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